Evaluation of the Impact of Various Doha Round Conclusion Scenarios at the WTO Agricultural Negotiation

Kone Siaka; Noufou Coulibaly; Yapi Yapo Magloire; Djina Djolo Jean Marc Junior

doi:doi:10.11648/j.eco.20190803.13

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Evaluation of the Impact of Various Doha Round Conclusion Scenarios at the WTO Agricultural Negotiation

Kone Siaka, Noufou Coulibaly, Yapi Yapo Magloire, Djina Djolo Jean Marc Junior

Published in Economics (Volume 8, Issue 3)

Received: 28 July 2019 Accepted: 29 August 2019 Published: 19 September 2019

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Abstract

This paper evaluates the impacts of various scenarios proposed in the context of the WTO Doha Round agricultural negotiations and a new scenario that considers differential treatment for developing countries. The objective of this paper is to contribute to find the desired consensus among WTO members to facilitate trade and avoid trade wars. We used the Agricultural Trade Policy Simulation Model (ATPSM) to measure impacts and use the ADAMS model to measure the equity of the various scenarios. We considered seven negotiating scenarios (1) Uruguay Round Agreement, (2) C4 country proposal, (3) EU proposal, (4) USA proposal, (6) our proposal and (7) full liberalization of trade. The results showed that our proposal increases the cotton producers’ price by 10.8%, better than the C4 countries proposal (9.0%) and USA proposals (6.1%). Our proposal for agricultural agreements increases the world price (8.1%), the consumer’s price (7.4%) and the volume of exports (2.3%), certainly to a lesser degree than that of the C4 countries proposal but more than the USA proposal. In terms of the equity criterion, it is as favorable as the other scenarios compared to the status quo of the Uruguay Round. Our proposal presents the elements for a compromise to conclude the Doha Round, with benefits for developing countries and the introduction of a new mechanism of international solidarity.

Published in	Economics (Volume 8, Issue 3)
DOI	10.11648/j.eco.20190803.13
Page(s)	106-113
Creative Commons	This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright	Copyright © The Author(s), 2019. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Agriculture Agreements, International Trade, Cotton, Doha Development Round, Equity, WTO

References

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APA Style

Kone Siaka, Noufou Coulibaly, Yapi Yapo Magloire, Djina Djolo Jean Marc Junior. (2019). Evaluation of the Impact of Various Doha Round Conclusion Scenarios at the WTO Agricultural Negotiation. Economics, 8(3), 106-113. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.eco.20190803.13

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ACS Style

Kone Siaka; Noufou Coulibaly; Yapi Yapo Magloire; Djina Djolo Jean Marc Junior. Evaluation of the Impact of Various Doha Round Conclusion Scenarios at the WTO Agricultural Negotiation. Economics. 2019, 8(3), 106-113. doi: 10.11648/j.eco.20190803.13

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AMA Style

Kone Siaka, Noufou Coulibaly, Yapi Yapo Magloire, Djina Djolo Jean Marc Junior. Evaluation of the Impact of Various Doha Round Conclusion Scenarios at the WTO Agricultural Negotiation. Economics. 2019;8(3):106-113. doi: 10.11648/j.eco.20190803.13

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@article{10.11648/j.eco.20190803.13,
  author = {Kone Siaka and Noufou Coulibaly and Yapi Yapo Magloire and Djina Djolo Jean Marc Junior},
  title = {Evaluation of the Impact of Various Doha Round Conclusion Scenarios at the WTO Agricultural Negotiation},
  journal = {Economics},
  volume = {8},
  number = {3},
  pages = {106-113},
  doi = {10.11648/j.eco.20190803.13},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.eco.20190803.13},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.eco.20190803.13},
  abstract = {This paper evaluates the impacts of various scenarios proposed in the context of the WTO Doha Round agricultural negotiations and a new scenario that considers differential treatment for developing countries. The objective of this paper is to contribute to find the desired consensus among WTO members to facilitate trade and avoid trade wars. We used the Agricultural Trade Policy Simulation Model (ATPSM) to measure impacts and use the ADAMS model to measure the equity of the various scenarios. We considered seven negotiating scenarios (1) Uruguay Round Agreement, (2) C4 country proposal, (3) EU proposal, (4) USA proposal, (6) our proposal and (7) full liberalization of trade. The results showed that our proposal increases the cotton producers’ price by 10.8%, better than the C4 countries proposal (9.0%) and USA proposals (6.1%). Our proposal for agricultural agreements increases the world price (8.1%), the consumer’s price (7.4%) and the volume of exports (2.3%), certainly to a lesser degree than that of the C4 countries proposal but more than the USA proposal. In terms of the equity criterion, it is as favorable as the other scenarios compared to the status quo of the Uruguay Round. Our proposal presents the elements for a compromise to conclude the Doha Round, with benefits for developing countries and the introduction of a new mechanism of international solidarity.},
 year = {2019}
}

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TY  - JOUR
T1  - Evaluation of the Impact of Various Doha Round Conclusion Scenarios at the WTO Agricultural Negotiation
AU  - Kone Siaka
AU  - Noufou Coulibaly
AU  - Yapi Yapo Magloire
AU  - Djina Djolo Jean Marc Junior
Y1  - 2019/09/19
PY  - 2019
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.eco.20190803.13
DO  - 10.11648/j.eco.20190803.13
T2  - Economics
JF  - Economics
JO  - Economics
SP  - 106
EP  - 113
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2376-6603
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.eco.20190803.13
AB  - This paper evaluates the impacts of various scenarios proposed in the context of the WTO Doha Round agricultural negotiations and a new scenario that considers differential treatment for developing countries. The objective of this paper is to contribute to find the desired consensus among WTO members to facilitate trade and avoid trade wars. We used the Agricultural Trade Policy Simulation Model (ATPSM) to measure impacts and use the ADAMS model to measure the equity of the various scenarios. We considered seven negotiating scenarios (1) Uruguay Round Agreement, (2) C4 country proposal, (3) EU proposal, (4) USA proposal, (6) our proposal and (7) full liberalization of trade. The results showed that our proposal increases the cotton producers’ price by 10.8%, better than the C4 countries proposal (9.0%) and USA proposals (6.1%). Our proposal for agricultural agreements increases the world price (8.1%), the consumer’s price (7.4%) and the volume of exports (2.3%), certainly to a lesser degree than that of the C4 countries proposal but more than the USA proposal. In terms of the equity criterion, it is as favorable as the other scenarios compared to the status quo of the Uruguay Round. Our proposal presents the elements for a compromise to conclude the Doha Round, with benefits for developing countries and the introduction of a new mechanism of international solidarity.
VL  - 8
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Author Information

Kone Siaka

Management and Applied Economics Department, National Polytechnic Institute Houphouet Boigny, Yamoussoukro, Cote d'Ivoire
Noufou Coulibaly

Management and Applied Economics Department, National Polytechnic Institute Houphouet Boigny, Yamoussoukro, Cote d'Ivoire
Yapi Yapo Magloire

Agriculture and Animal Science Department, National Polytechnic Institute Houphouet Boigny, Yamoussoukro, Cote d'Ivoire
Djina Djolo Jean Marc Junior

Management and Applied Economics Department, National Polytechnic Institute Houphouet Boigny, Yamoussoukro, Cote d'Ivoire

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APA Style

Kone Siaka, Noufou Coulibaly, Yapi Yapo Magloire, Djina Djolo Jean Marc Junior. (2019). Evaluation of the Impact of Various Doha Round Conclusion Scenarios at the WTO Agricultural Negotiation. Economics, 8(3), 106-113. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.eco.20190803.13

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ACS Style

Kone Siaka; Noufou Coulibaly; Yapi Yapo Magloire; Djina Djolo Jean Marc Junior. Evaluation of the Impact of Various Doha Round Conclusion Scenarios at the WTO Agricultural Negotiation. Economics. 2019, 8(3), 106-113. doi: 10.11648/j.eco.20190803.13

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AMA Style

Kone Siaka, Noufou Coulibaly, Yapi Yapo Magloire, Djina Djolo Jean Marc Junior. Evaluation of the Impact of Various Doha Round Conclusion Scenarios at the WTO Agricultural Negotiation. Economics. 2019;8(3):106-113. doi: 10.11648/j.eco.20190803.13

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@article{10.11648/j.eco.20190803.13,
  author = {Kone Siaka and Noufou Coulibaly and Yapi Yapo Magloire and Djina Djolo Jean Marc Junior},
  title = {Evaluation of the Impact of Various Doha Round Conclusion Scenarios at the WTO Agricultural Negotiation},
  journal = {Economics},
  volume = {8},
  number = {3},
  pages = {106-113},
  doi = {10.11648/j.eco.20190803.13},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.eco.20190803.13},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.eco.20190803.13},
  abstract = {This paper evaluates the impacts of various scenarios proposed in the context of the WTO Doha Round agricultural negotiations and a new scenario that considers differential treatment for developing countries. The objective of this paper is to contribute to find the desired consensus among WTO members to facilitate trade and avoid trade wars. We used the Agricultural Trade Policy Simulation Model (ATPSM) to measure impacts and use the ADAMS model to measure the equity of the various scenarios. We considered seven negotiating scenarios (1) Uruguay Round Agreement, (2) C4 country proposal, (3) EU proposal, (4) USA proposal, (6) our proposal and (7) full liberalization of trade. The results showed that our proposal increases the cotton producers’ price by 10.8%, better than the C4 countries proposal (9.0%) and USA proposals (6.1%). Our proposal for agricultural agreements increases the world price (8.1%), the consumer’s price (7.4%) and the volume of exports (2.3%), certainly to a lesser degree than that of the C4 countries proposal but more than the USA proposal. In terms of the equity criterion, it is as favorable as the other scenarios compared to the status quo of the Uruguay Round. Our proposal presents the elements for a compromise to conclude the Doha Round, with benefits for developing countries and the introduction of a new mechanism of international solidarity.},
 year = {2019}
}

Copy | Download

TY  - JOUR
T1  - Evaluation of the Impact of Various Doha Round Conclusion Scenarios at the WTO Agricultural Negotiation
AU  - Kone Siaka
AU  - Noufou Coulibaly
AU  - Yapi Yapo Magloire
AU  - Djina Djolo Jean Marc Junior
Y1  - 2019/09/19
PY  - 2019
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.eco.20190803.13
DO  - 10.11648/j.eco.20190803.13
T2  - Economics
JF  - Economics
JO  - Economics
SP  - 106
EP  - 113
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2376-6603
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.eco.20190803.13
AB  - This paper evaluates the impacts of various scenarios proposed in the context of the WTO Doha Round agricultural negotiations and a new scenario that considers differential treatment for developing countries. The objective of this paper is to contribute to find the desired consensus among WTO members to facilitate trade and avoid trade wars. We used the Agricultural Trade Policy Simulation Model (ATPSM) to measure impacts and use the ADAMS model to measure the equity of the various scenarios. We considered seven negotiating scenarios (1) Uruguay Round Agreement, (2) C4 country proposal, (3) EU proposal, (4) USA proposal, (6) our proposal and (7) full liberalization of trade. The results showed that our proposal increases the cotton producers’ price by 10.8%, better than the C4 countries proposal (9.0%) and USA proposals (6.1%). Our proposal for agricultural agreements increases the world price (8.1%), the consumer’s price (7.4%) and the volume of exports (2.3%), certainly to a lesser degree than that of the C4 countries proposal but more than the USA proposal. In terms of the equity criterion, it is as favorable as the other scenarios compared to the status quo of the Uruguay Round. Our proposal presents the elements for a compromise to conclude the Doha Round, with benefits for developing countries and the introduction of a new mechanism of international solidarity.
VL  - 8
IS  - 3
ER  -

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