When one or more observations fall outside the control limits, the chart signals the existence of a change in the process. Change point detection is helpful in modelling and prediction of time series and is found in broader areas of applications including process monitoring. Three approaches were proposed for estimating change point in process for the different types of changes in the literature. they are: Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE), the Cumulative Sum (CUSUM), and the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) approaches. This paper gives a synopsis of change point estimation, specifies, categorizes, and evaluates many of the methods that have been recommended for detecting change points in process monitoring. The change points articles in the literature were categorized broadly under five categories, namely: types of process, types of data, types of change, types of phase and methods of estimation. Aside the five broad categories, we also included the parameter involved. Furthermore, the use of control charts and other monitoring tools used to detect abrupt changes in processes were reviewed and the gaps for process monitoring/controlling were examined. A combination of different methods of estimation will be a valuable approach to finding the best estimates of change point models. Further research studies would include assessing the sensitivity of the various change point estimators to deviations in the underlying distributional assumptions.
Published in | Applied and Computational Mathematics (Volume 10, Issue 3) |
DOI | 10.11648/j.acm.20211003.13 |
Page(s) | 69-75 |
Creative Commons |
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited. |
Copyright |
Copyright © The Author(s), 2021. Published by Science Publishing Group |
Change Points, Control Charts, Estimation, Process Monitoring, Gaps
[1] | Ahmad Y. A., Hamadani A. Z. and Amiri, A. (2019). Phase II monitoring of multivariate simple linear profiles with estimated parameters. Journal of Industrial Engineering International, 58, 563-570. |
[2] | Ahmadzadeh F. (2011). Change point detection with multivariate control charts by artificial neural network. International Journal of Advanced Manufacturing Technology, 97, 3179–319. |
[3] | Alaeddini A., Ghazanfari, M. and Aminnayeri M. (2009). A hybrid fuzzy-statistical clustering approach for estimating the time of changes in fixed and variable sampling control charts. Information Sciences, 179, 1769–1784. |
[4] | Amiri A. and Allahyari S. (2011). Change point method for control chart postsignal diagnostics: A literature review. Quality and Reliability Engineering International. 28, 673 – 685. |
[5] | Atashgar K. and Noorossana R. (2011). An integrating approach to root cause analysis of a bivariate mean vector with a linear trend disturbance. The International Journal of Advanced Manufacturing Technology, 52, 407–420. |
[6] | Eyvazian M., Noorossana R., Saghaei A., and Amiri A. (2011). Phase II monitoring of multivariate multiple linear regression profiles. Quality and Reliability Engineering International, 27, 281–296. |
[7] | Fahmy H. M. and Elsayed E. A. (2006). Drift time detection and adjustment procedures for processes subject to linear trend. International Journal of Production Research, 44, 3257–3278. |
[8] | Fan S. K. S., Jen C. H. and Lee J. X. (2019). Profile Monitoring for Autocorrelated Reflow Processes with Small Samples. MDPI, 7, 104. |
[9] | Foroutan H., Amiri A. and Kamranrad R. (2018). Improving Phase I Monitoring of Dirichlet Regression Profiles. International Journal of Reliability, Quality and Safety Engineering, 25, 1-28. |
[10] | Ghazanfari M., Alaeddini A., Niaki S. T. A., and Aryanezhad M. B. (2008). A clustering approach to identify the time of a step change in Shewhart control charts. Quality and Reliability Engineering International, 24, 765–778. |
[11] | Hakimi A., Amiri A. and Kamranrad R. (2017). Robust approaches for monitoring logistic regression profiles under outliers. International Journal of Quality & Reliability Management, 34, 494 – 507. |
[12] | Imani M. H. and Amiri A. (2015). Phase II Monitoring of Logistic Regression Profile in Two-stage Processes. 11th International Industrial Engineering Conference. www.iiec2015.org, 1-8. |
[13] | Jain A. K. and Dubes R. C. (1998). Algorithms for Clustering Data. Prentice-Hall Inc |
[14] | Jann A. (2000). Multiple change point detection with genetic algorithm. Soft computing, 4, 68–75. |
[15] | Kazemzadeh R. B., Noorossana R. and Amiri A. (2008). Phase I monitoring of polynomial profiles. Communications in Statistics, Theory and Methods, 37, 1671–1686. |
[16] | Khoo M. B. (2005). Determining the time of a permanent shift in the process mean of CUSUM control charts. Quality Engineering, 17, 87–93. |
[17] | Kim K., Mahmoud M. A. and Woodall W. H. (2007). On the monitoring of linear profiles. Journal of Quality Technology, 35, 317–328. |
[18] | Kordestani M., Hassanvand F., Samimi Y. and Shahriari H. (2019). Monitoring multivariate simple linear profiles using robust estimators. Communication in Statistics - Theory and Methods, DOI: 10.1080/03610926.2019.1584314. |
[19] | Lai C. D., Xie M. and Govindaraju K. (2000). Study of a Markov model for a high-quality dependent process. Journal of Applied Statistics, 17, 461–473. |
[20] | Lee J. and Park C. (2007). Estimation of the change point in monitoring the process mean and variance. Communications in Statistics-Simulation and Computation, 36, 1333–1345. |
[21] | Mahmoud M. A., Parker P. A., Woodall W. H. and Hawkins D. M. (2007). A change point method for linear profile data. Quality and Reliability Engineering International, 23, 247–268. |
[22] | Mahmoud M. A. and Woodall W. H. (2004). Phase I analysis of linear profiles with calibration applications. Technometrics, 46, 377–391. |
[23] | Maleki M. R., Amiri A., Taheriyoun A. R. and Castagliola P. (2018). Phase I monitoring and change point estimation of autocorrelated poisson regression profiles, Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 47, 5885-5903. |
[24] | Mohammadian F., Niaki S. T. A. and Amiri A. (2014). Phase-1 Risk-Adjusted Geometric Control Charts to Monitor Health-Care Systems. Quality and Reliability Engineering International, 32, 19 – 28. |
[25] | Nedumaran G. and Pignatiello J. J. (2000). Identifying the time of a step change with chi-square control charts. Quality Engineering, 13, 153–159. |
[26] | Nishina K. A. (1992). Comparison of control charts from the viewpoint of change point estimation. Quality and Reliability Engineering International, 8, 537–541. |
[27] | Noorosana R., Saghaei A., Paynabar K. and Abdi S. (2009). Identifying the period of a step change in High yield processes. Quality and Reliability Engineering International, 25, 875–883. |
[28] | Noorossana R., Atashgar K. and Saghaei A. (2011). An integrated supervised learning solution formonitoring process mean vector. International Journal of Advanced Manufacturing Technology, 56, 755–76. |
[29] | Noorossana R. and Shadman A. (2009). Estimating the change point of a normal process mean with a monotonic change. Quality and Reliability Engineering International, 25, 79–90. |
[30] | Noorossana R., Aminnayeri M. and Izadbakhsh H. (2013). Statistical monitoring of polytomous logistic profiles in phase II. Scientia Iranica E, 20, 958–966. |
[31] | Noorossana R., Niaki S. T. A. and Izadbakhsh H. (2014). Statistical Monitoring of Nominal Logistic Profiles in Phase II. Communications in Statistics: Theory and Methods, 44, 2689-2704. |
[32] | Park J. and Park S. (2004). Estimation of the change point in the X-bar and S control charts. Communications in Statistics-Simulation and Computation, 33, 1115–1132. |
[33] | Perry M. B., Pignatiello J. J., and Simpson J. R. (2007). Estimating the change point of the process fraction non-conforming with a monotonic change disturbance in SPC. Quality and Reliability Engineering International, 23, 327–339. |
[34] | Perry M. B. and Pignatiello J. J. (2006). Estimation of the change point of a normal process mean with a linear trend disturbance in SPC. Quality Technology and Quantitative Management, 3, 325–334. |
[35] | Perry M. B. and Pignatiello J. J. (2010). Identifying the time of step change in the mean of autocorrelated processes. Journal of Applied Statistics, 37, 119–136. |
[36] | Perry M. B. and Pignatiello J. J. (2008). A change point model for the location parameter of exponential family densities. IIE Transactions, 40, 947–956. |
[37] | Perry M. B. and Pignatiello J. J., Simpson J. R. (2007). Change point estimation for monotonically changing Poisson rates in SPC. International Journal of Production Research, 45, 1791–1813. |
[38] | Perry M. B. (2010). Identifying the time of polynomial drifts in the mean of autocorrelated processes. Quality and Reliability Engineering International, 26, 399–415. |
[39] | Perry M. B., Pignatiello J. J. and Simpson J. R. (2006). Estimating the change point of a Poisson rate parameter with a linear trend disturbance. Quality and Reliability Engineering International, 22, 371–384. |
[40] | Pignatiello J. J. and Samuel T. R. (2001). Estimation of the change point of a normal process mean in SPC applications. Journal of Quality Technology, 33, 82–95. |
[41] | Pignatiello J. J. and Samuel T. R. (2001). Identifying the time of a step change in the process fraction nonconforming. Quality Engineering, 13, 357–365. |
[42] | Pignatiello J. J. and Simpson J. R. (2002). A magnitude-robust control chart for monitoring and estimating step changes for normal process means. Quality and Reliability Engineering International, 18, 429–441. |
[43] | Puri M., Solanki A., Padawer T., Tipparaju S. M., Moreno W. A., and Pathak Y. (2016). Introduction to artificial neural networks (ANN) for Drug Design. Delivery and Disposition. Basic Concepts and Modelling. Elsevier Inc., 407-415. |
[44] | Saghaei A., Zadeh-Saghaei M. R., Noorossana R. and Dorri M. (2012). Phase II logistic profile Monitoring. International Journal of Industrial Engineering and Production Research, 23, 291-299. |
[45] | Samuel T. R., Pignatiello J. J. and Calvin J. A. (1998). Identifying the time of a step change in a normal process variance. Quality Engineering, 10, 529–538. |
[46] | Samuel T. R. and Pignatiello J. J. (1998). Identifying the time of a change in a Poisson rate parameter. Quality Engineering, 10, 673–681. |
[47] | Samuel T. R., Pignatiello J. J. and Calvin J. A. (1998). Identifying the time of a step change with X-bar control charts. Quality Engineering, 10, 521–527. |
[48] | Sharafi A., Aminnayeri M., and Amiri A. (2014). Estimating the change point of binary profiles in phase II. International Journal of Productivity and Quality Management, 14, 336–351. |
[49] | Sogandi F. and Amiri A. (2014). Change point estimation of gamma regression profiles with a linear trend disturbance. International Journal of Quality Engineering and Technology, 4, 352. |
[50] | Sullivan J. H. and Woodall W. H. (2000). Change-point detection of mean vector or covariance matrix shifts using multivariate individual observations. IIE Transactions, 32, 537–549. |
[51] | Sullivan J. H. (2002). Detection of multiple change points from clustering individual observations. Journal of Quality Technology, 34, 371–383. |
[52] | Timmer D. H. and Pignatiello J. J. (2003). Change point estimates for the parameter of an AR (1) process. Quality and Reliability Engineering International, 19, 355–369. |
[53] | Tout K., Retraint F. and Cogranne R. (2018). Non-Stationary Process Monitoring for Change-Point Detection With Known Accuracy: Application to Wheels Coating Inspection. International Journal of Reliability, Quality and Safety Engineering, 25, 6709–6721. |
[54] | Woodall W. H. and Montgomery D. C. (1999). Research issues and ideas in statistical process control. Journal of Quality Technology, 31, 376–386. |
[55] | Zamba K. D. and Hawkins D. M. (2006). A multivariate change point model for statistical process control. Technometrics, 48, 539–549. |
[56] | Zarandi M. H. F. and Alaeddini A. (2010). A general fuzzy-statistical clustering approach for estimating the time of change in variable sampling control charts. Information Sciences, 180, 3033–3044. |
[57] | Zhao W. Tian Z., and Xia Z. (2010). Ratio test for variance change point in linear process with long memory. Statistical Papers, 51, 397–407. |
[58] | Zhou C., Zou C., Zhang Y., Wang B. Z. (2009). Nonparametric control chart based on change-point model. Stat Papers, 50, 13–28. |
[59] | Zhou J. and Liu S. Y. (2009). Inference for mean change point in infinite variance AR (p) process. Statistics and Probability Letters, 79, 6–15. |
[60] | Zou C., Tsung F., Liu Y. (2008). A change point approach for phase I analysis in multistage processes. Technometrics, 50, 344–356. |
[61] | Zou C., Tsung F., Wang Z. (2007). Monitoring general linear profiles using multivariate exponentially weighted moving average schemes. Technometrics, 49, 395–408. |
[62] | Zhu J. (2008). Essays in profile monitoring: A Dissertation in Statistics. Department of Statistics. The Pennsylvania State University. |
APA Style
Ademola John Ogunniran, Kayode Samuel Adekeye, Johnson Ademola Adewara, Muminu Adamu. (2021). A Review of Change Point Estimation Methods for Process Monitoring. Applied and Computational Mathematics, 10(3), 69-75. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.acm.20211003.13
ACS Style
Ademola John Ogunniran; Kayode Samuel Adekeye; Johnson Ademola Adewara; Muminu Adamu. A Review of Change Point Estimation Methods for Process Monitoring. Appl. Comput. Math. 2021, 10(3), 69-75. doi: 10.11648/j.acm.20211003.13
AMA Style
Ademola John Ogunniran, Kayode Samuel Adekeye, Johnson Ademola Adewara, Muminu Adamu. A Review of Change Point Estimation Methods for Process Monitoring. Appl Comput Math. 2021;10(3):69-75. doi: 10.11648/j.acm.20211003.13
@article{10.11648/j.acm.20211003.13, author = {Ademola John Ogunniran and Kayode Samuel Adekeye and Johnson Ademola Adewara and Muminu Adamu}, title = {A Review of Change Point Estimation Methods for Process Monitoring}, journal = {Applied and Computational Mathematics}, volume = {10}, number = {3}, pages = {69-75}, doi = {10.11648/j.acm.20211003.13}, url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.acm.20211003.13}, eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.acm.20211003.13}, abstract = {When one or more observations fall outside the control limits, the chart signals the existence of a change in the process. Change point detection is helpful in modelling and prediction of time series and is found in broader areas of applications including process monitoring. Three approaches were proposed for estimating change point in process for the different types of changes in the literature. they are: Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE), the Cumulative Sum (CUSUM), and the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) approaches. This paper gives a synopsis of change point estimation, specifies, categorizes, and evaluates many of the methods that have been recommended for detecting change points in process monitoring. The change points articles in the literature were categorized broadly under five categories, namely: types of process, types of data, types of change, types of phase and methods of estimation. Aside the five broad categories, we also included the parameter involved. Furthermore, the use of control charts and other monitoring tools used to detect abrupt changes in processes were reviewed and the gaps for process monitoring/controlling were examined. A combination of different methods of estimation will be a valuable approach to finding the best estimates of change point models. Further research studies would include assessing the sensitivity of the various change point estimators to deviations in the underlying distributional assumptions.}, year = {2021} }
TY - JOUR T1 - A Review of Change Point Estimation Methods for Process Monitoring AU - Ademola John Ogunniran AU - Kayode Samuel Adekeye AU - Johnson Ademola Adewara AU - Muminu Adamu Y1 - 2021/06/29 PY - 2021 N1 - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.acm.20211003.13 DO - 10.11648/j.acm.20211003.13 T2 - Applied and Computational Mathematics JF - Applied and Computational Mathematics JO - Applied and Computational Mathematics SP - 69 EP - 75 PB - Science Publishing Group SN - 2328-5613 UR - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.acm.20211003.13 AB - When one or more observations fall outside the control limits, the chart signals the existence of a change in the process. Change point detection is helpful in modelling and prediction of time series and is found in broader areas of applications including process monitoring. Three approaches were proposed for estimating change point in process for the different types of changes in the literature. they are: Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE), the Cumulative Sum (CUSUM), and the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) approaches. This paper gives a synopsis of change point estimation, specifies, categorizes, and evaluates many of the methods that have been recommended for detecting change points in process monitoring. The change points articles in the literature were categorized broadly under five categories, namely: types of process, types of data, types of change, types of phase and methods of estimation. Aside the five broad categories, we also included the parameter involved. Furthermore, the use of control charts and other monitoring tools used to detect abrupt changes in processes were reviewed and the gaps for process monitoring/controlling were examined. A combination of different methods of estimation will be a valuable approach to finding the best estimates of change point models. Further research studies would include assessing the sensitivity of the various change point estimators to deviations in the underlying distributional assumptions. VL - 10 IS - 3 ER -